The Goldman Guide

Originally published as a newsletter from 2010-2016, we re-launched The Goldman Guide in January 2023 as a free weekly audio/video podcast with a companion newsletter version. These varied formats allow our subscribers to utilize their preferred method of learning about our investment, economic, sector, equity, and crypto insights.  This non-sponsored content seeks to provide subscribers with detailed data, perspectives and opinions in an action-oriented, straight to the point approach. The podcast and newsletter are produced by Goldman Small Cap Research and are led by Founder Rob Goldman. Occassionally, there may be contributions from the GSCR contributor team, as indicated.  No companies mentioned in this podcast or newsletter are current or prior sponsored research clients of the Company or its parent.  



Star Wars Could Dominate Stocks
Written by Rob Goldman   

Last week was an abject disaster thanks to the dive in oil prices and concern about the prospective interest rate rise this week. Nonetheless, our Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ – SWHC) pick was up 23%.

What’s on tap this week and what is inside this week’s issue of the Guide

  • There is one stock that stands to benefit from the release of Star Wars: The Force Awakens which stands to break all kids of records.
  • Chipotle (NYSE – CMG) is going to drop lower and we believe that estimates are still too high. See what two stocks are beneficiaries of the CMG debacle.
  • The warm weather means you need to avoid apparel stocks.
  • We expect the market to stabilize and rise once the oil price decline subsides and the interest rate uncertainty finally reaches a conclusion.
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Opportunity Knocking
Written by Rob Goldman   

Look, there is a reason gun sales are surging and the more gun control advocates make noise or these horrific events occur, the more gun sales will climb. Thus, it is a no-brainer town these stocks, regardless of their big performance this year, are going to move higher. See what to expect from these stocks and their surprisingly reasonable valuations.

Opportunity Knocking?

Each year around this time, year-end selling occurs in stocks that have been poor or disappointing performers over the previous 6-12 months.  The heavy and steady selling in these securities typically results in unique oversold opportunities toward the end of the year, especially in small cap stocks.  Moreover, history illustrates that many of one year’s big losers tend to be strong performers during the early part of the following year. This week’s candidate is under major accumulation, has a series of very positive events in its sights, and could grow by 40% by early next year.

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In the Green, In the Red
Written by Rob Goldman   

Hope everyone had an enjoyable Thanksgiving weekend. Which sectors will be on fire in the weeks ahead? Is the small cap segment about to break out?

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Are We Healthy?
Written by Rob Goldman   

Welcome to the coolest week of the year where we have two full trading days with big volume and essentially two half-days (as most people leave early on Wednesday) that have lighter volume, but impact direction. This week’s theme is all about health. It starts with Mega Merger Monday with a combination of two health care behemoths. The just announced Allergan/Pfizer deal will spark speculation regarding new deals that will drive the space higher.

The second health issue is the health of the economy, which will come to light via home sales figures Monday, Q2 GDP and consumer confidence on Tuesday, and initial jobless claims on Wednesday.

The biggest question will be the health of holiday sales, which commence in earnest this week, and will drive stocks’ performance in the near term.  But there is also something else that typically starts at week’s end and plays a big role in determining what stocks perform best from December through January. For that, click on the buttons below.

Bonus: Been feeling lousy because small caps seem to be stuck? Check out these stats and take comfort in the turn in small caps in 2016.

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Two Top Sectors for December
Written by Rob Goldman   

Obviously our hearts go out to the people of France. It was a needless tragedy that reminds us that while gold may not be the place to be, security and defense stocks need to be a component of everyone’s portfolios, today and going forward as this menace is not going away.

Separately, stocks were crushed late last week due to the poor October retail sales figures. This panic was unwarranted and overdone but most important, gives us the opportunity to predict which stocks will do extremely well in the all-important holiday season which will be better than the fear-mongers are forecasting today and which ones will be worse. How could the nation’s economists not predicted what would happen and what should happen this season? Check out the list below. While stocks will still be rocky for a while we are nearing the start of the typical year-end rally, with each passing week.

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Predicting Stocks’ Future Moves
Written by Rob Goldman   

Now that the Q3 earnings reporting season is coming to a close in the next few days, it is time to predict what the market, key categories, and sectors will do for the balance of the year. The good news is that we can predict what will happen almost on a weekly basis for the next 6-7 weeks, since the calendar works like clockwork this time of year. The better news is that a rally in small caps is in the offing and will continue into next year after being left in the dust the past 2 years. Click one of the buttons below to see what will happen before it happens.

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Crowdfunding and Cannabis
Written by Rob Goldman   

Every few years a brand new market evolves and takes America by storm. With recent and pending events, I believe that two markets are going to change everything as we know it: crowdfunding and cannabis.

For those of you still groggy this morning after changing the clock, this week brings us the Halloween Indicator in full swing and a bunch of key growth stock names slated to release financials this week. We make a very brief mention of 3 stocks whose reports will surely tell us what to expect going forward.

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A Proven Top Performing Strategy
Written by Rob Goldman   

Who has time for lengthy email descriptions these days? That’s why we are cutting to the chase. If you do not reach any more editions of The Goldman Guide for the rest of the year, do yourself a favor and read this one.

  • Learn how to use a proven, top-performing strategy that typically generates surprisingly strong returns every 60 days, year-round, like clockwork.
  • Size matters, right ladies? Well it does with stocks right now since the mega caps are ruling the roost. Still, every dog has its day and with the strong dollar hurting multinationals, small caps are about to be front and center.
  • Auto stocks are a hot commodity right now and this overlooked, well-regarded stock may be the best play in the group. (Hint: It is a connection to Italy.)
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Brand Name Consumer Company’s Stock Is Too Cheap
Written by Rob Goldman   

There are three major takeaways from this week’s edition.

  • A major brand name consumer company, whose growth rides the coattails of the housing and construction segments, trades 10x 2016 EPS despite expectations of 25% growth. With a usual P/E multiple range of 13-15x on forward 12-month EPS, this stocks looks very cheap. Plus, Q3 results are due out on Friday.
  • With earnings season in full swing, it’s time to think like an analyst to ensure success with your holdings.
  • This featured “Rip van Winkle” small cap stock trades 0.3 x revenue and 5x EPS which is a real discount to its current growth rate---and it could even expand.
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What to Buy Ahead of Earnings
Written by Rob Goldman   

It is earnings season and that means the stock market direction for the rest of the year may hang in the balance. Still, there are a few things you need to know:

  • Stocks are on such a roll that they may reach their 200DMA this week, a major bullish signal after hitting their 20 and 50 DMA.
  • Earnings reports to be dominated by financials and stocks like Intel and Netflix but already some have concerns about Q4’s earnings growth.
  • We highlight 2 low-priced stocks that report this week, whose shares could get a big bump following their quarterly reports.
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