The Goldman Guide

Launched in May 2010, The Goldman Guide is a free weekly publication of Goldman Small Cap Research and is written by Founder Rob Goldman with contributions from the GSCR contributor team. This non-sponsored investment newsletter seeks to provide investors with market, economic, political and equity-specific insights via an action-oriented, straight to the point approach. No companies mentioned in this newsletter are current sponsored research clients of the Company or its parent, With rare exceptions, all companies or investment ideas mentioned in this publication are publicly traded stocks listed either on the NYSE or the NASDAQ.



Are We Healthy?
Written by Rob Goldman   

Welcome to the coolest week of the year where we have two full trading days with big volume and essentially two half-days (as most people leave early on Wednesday) that have lighter volume, but impact direction. This week’s theme is all about health. It starts with Mega Merger Monday with a combination of two health care behemoths. The just announced Allergan/Pfizer deal will spark speculation regarding new deals that will drive the space higher.

The second health issue is the health of the economy, which will come to light via home sales figures Monday, Q2 GDP and consumer confidence on Tuesday, and initial jobless claims on Wednesday.

The biggest question will be the health of holiday sales, which commence in earnest this week, and will drive stocks’ performance in the near term.  But there is also something else that typically starts at week’s end and plays a big role in determining what stocks perform best from December through January. For that, click on the buttons below.

Bonus: Been feeling lousy because small caps seem to be stuck? Check out these stats and take comfort in the turn in small caps in 2016.

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Two Top Sectors for December
Written by Rob Goldman   

Obviously our hearts go out to the people of France. It was a needless tragedy that reminds us that while gold may not be the place to be, security and defense stocks need to be a component of everyone’s portfolios, today and going forward as this menace is not going away.

Separately, stocks were crushed late last week due to the poor October retail sales figures. This panic was unwarranted and overdone but most important, gives us the opportunity to predict which stocks will do extremely well in the all-important holiday season which will be better than the fear-mongers are forecasting today and which ones will be worse. How could the nation’s economists not predicted what would happen and what should happen this season? Check out the list below. While stocks will still be rocky for a while we are nearing the start of the typical year-end rally, with each passing week.

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Predicting Stocks’ Future Moves
Written by Rob Goldman   

Now that the Q3 earnings reporting season is coming to a close in the next few days, it is time to predict what the market, key categories, and sectors will do for the balance of the year. The good news is that we can predict what will happen almost on a weekly basis for the next 6-7 weeks, since the calendar works like clockwork this time of year. The better news is that a rally in small caps is in the offing and will continue into next year after being left in the dust the past 2 years. Click one of the buttons below to see what will happen before it happens.

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Crowdfunding and Cannabis
Written by Rob Goldman   

Every few years a brand new market evolves and takes America by storm. With recent and pending events, I believe that two markets are going to change everything as we know it: crowdfunding and cannabis.

For those of you still groggy this morning after changing the clock, this week brings us the Halloween Indicator in full swing and a bunch of key growth stock names slated to release financials this week. We make a very brief mention of 3 stocks whose reports will surely tell us what to expect going forward.

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A Proven Top Performing Strategy
Written by Rob Goldman   

Who has time for lengthy email descriptions these days? That’s why we are cutting to the chase. If you do not reach any more editions of The Goldman Guide for the rest of the year, do yourself a favor and read this one.

  • Learn how to use a proven, top-performing strategy that typically generates surprisingly strong returns every 60 days, year-round, like clockwork.
  • Size matters, right ladies? Well it does with stocks right now since the mega caps are ruling the roost. Still, every dog has its day and with the strong dollar hurting multinationals, small caps are about to be front and center.
  • Auto stocks are a hot commodity right now and this overlooked, well-regarded stock may be the best play in the group. (Hint: It is a connection to Italy.)
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Brand Name Consumer Company’s Stock Is Too Cheap
Written by Rob Goldman   

There are three major takeaways from this week’s edition.

  • A major brand name consumer company, whose growth rides the coattails of the housing and construction segments, trades 10x 2016 EPS despite expectations of 25% growth. With a usual P/E multiple range of 13-15x on forward 12-month EPS, this stocks looks very cheap. Plus, Q3 results are due out on Friday.
  • With earnings season in full swing, it’s time to think like an analyst to ensure success with your holdings.
  • This featured “Rip van Winkle” small cap stock trades 0.3 x revenue and 5x EPS which is a real discount to its current growth rate---and it could even expand.
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What to Buy Ahead of Earnings
Written by Rob Goldman   

It is earnings season and that means the stock market direction for the rest of the year may hang in the balance. Still, there are a few things you need to know:

  • Stocks are on such a roll that they may reach their 200DMA this week, a major bullish signal after hitting their 20 and 50 DMA.
  • Earnings reports to be dominated by financials and stocks like Intel and Netflix but already some have concerns about Q4’s earnings growth.
  • We highlight 2 low-priced stocks that report this week, whose shares could get a big bump following their quarterly reports.
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This Strategist Has Made Nearly Flawless Predictions
Written by Rob Goldman   

After reviewing stock and stock index returns, I discovered that late last year a strategist that made performance predictions for the main stock indices has turned out to be almost exactly on target year-to-date.  Check it out here and see what he has to say now…

It is a new quarter and that means new reports, updates, and new premium newsletters are going to be landing in your inbox very soon. In the meantime, this week’s edition of The Goldman Guide not only highlights must-read articles around the web and key market sentiment stats, but we profile a low-priced, dividend-paying “Halloween” stock that could see a big move this month due to seasonality and its share buyback program.

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Top 5 Moves Hedge Funds Are Making Right Now
Written by Rob Goldman   

If it feels like stocks are terrible performers you are right. The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are down about 6% in just the past 10 days!  What’s next?

#1: Investor sentiment is at a record bearish level. Is this good news or bad news? How does that affect us today? 

#2: Have institutions been playing games lately to cause volatility? Are potential policy shifts and upcoming changes in Republican leadership affecting stocks to the same degree as economic, interest rate, and earnings concerns?

#3: What are the top 5 moves hedge funds are making right now to generate big returns even in down to sideways markets? How they are setting themselves up for a huge end of year run?

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Top 3 Potential Movers This Week
Written by Rob Goldman   

I hate to say it but, damn it, Janet! Your “stand-pat” policy has given us exactly what we did not want: uncertainty. Thanks for nothing.   All you have done is prolong the agony over the timing of the long-awaited interest rate increase. Thank goodness for Factset’s release on Q3 earnings. Their latest insights suggest that the estimated earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 (ex-Energy) for Q3 2015 is 3.0%, but that it rises to 8.8% for companies with 50%+ of its sales in the U.S. 

This confirms our belief that the Fed’s initial move(s) will be incremental. Armed with this info, domestic-centric, non-energy companies may offer the greatest upside.  With that in mind, while the rest of Wall Street wrings its hands not knowing what comes next, here are 3 potential movers this week:

#1: A popular and important index is just 2% below its 200 day moving average. If we get a mini-rally, it could have some legs this week as this index’s performance could be a short term buy signal.  See how to take advantage.

#2: This overlooked sector has been brushed aside time and time again as it has endured more false starts this year than an Oakland Raiders offensive line. Yet, it could be one of the biggest winners of the latter part of 2015 and 2016, if things go as we lay them out for you. The good news is we outline how to play it.

#3: This week’s profiled stock gets most of its sales in the good old USofA and is a “steel.” The company reports its latest results on Thursday and it has surprised on the upside four straight quarters.  Traders could see quick gains and longer term holders could enjoy solid returns, since the valuation is attractive.

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